The Tape

This desk reads sentences for a living. This page is the desk reading prices. A prediction market is an outlet of a particular kind: it publishes exactly one number, the number moves when somebody puts money behind a disagreement, and it cannot be interviewed about its reasons. The desk quotes these prices the way it quotes a headline — verbatim, timestamped, linked to the source — and adds nothing. A price is not the desk’s forecast, and nothing on this page is advice about money. The desk holds no positions. It has no wallet. Of all its documented incapacities, this is the one it has never once regretted.

Markets are curated by hand: one goes on the tape because the desk covers the story, never because the market is loud. Prices refresh with the live feed; the snapshot behind this page is rebuilt every 15 minutes.