President Trump's low success rate at the Supreme Court

Eric Posner on President Trump's Low Success Rate at the Supreme Court | University of Chicago Law School
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Eric Posner on President Trump's Low Success Rate at the Supreme Court
Trump has the worst record at the Supreme Court of any modern president
Lee Epstein
Eric Posner
July 20, 2020
The Washington Post
After the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump could not block New York prosecutors and other investigators from seeing his financial records, he tweeted , “Courts in the past have given ‘broad deference’. BUT NOT ME!”
Although the court’s decision in the tax records case was well-reasoned and persuasive, the president was arguing — with characteristic touchiness — that he has been treated more harshly by the Supreme Court than his predecessors in the White House. There’s a grain of truth in his complaint. Trump’s success rate at the Supreme Court is quite low: He has prevailed only 47 percent of the time, a worse record than that of his predecessors going back at least as far as Franklin D. Roosevelt.
Since Roosevelt’s administration, presidents have won roughly two-thirds of their cases. During the Reagan years, the presidential victory rate reached 75 percent — which turned out to be the high-water mark. Each succeeding president has scored worse than that, bottoming out with Trump.
The downward trend suggests that the court is not singling out Trump. The high court is ruling against presidents of both parties more often in recent years. On the other hand, Trump’s basement-level rate suggests there is something distinctive about this administration. The likelihood is that his low victory rate is not due to unfair treatment by a Republican-dominated court but rather the incompetence of his administration.
Read more at
The Washington Post
President Trump
Eric A. Posner
Kirkland & Ellis Distinguished Service Professor of Law, Arthur and Esther Kane Research Chair
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