2026 CPR Senate Race ratings

HEADLINE: 2026 CPR Senate Race ratings
NOTE: live page renders the Lean Republican column as heading "Lean RLean Republican(0)" with "0 Dem  0 Rep" and no races listed beneath it

2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings — Aug 20, 2026

About CPR Senate Race Ratings: The CPR Senate Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all Senate seats up in each cycle. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state’s political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals.

Ratings Summary (columns, with counts): Solid Democrat (9) · Likely Democrat (1) · Lean Democrat (3) · Toss Up (6) · Lean Republican (0) · Likely Republican (2) · Solid Republican (14). Thirty-four Democratic-held seats and thirty-one Republican-held seats are not up for re-election.

Solid Democrat (9): CO Hickenlooper · DE Coons · IL OPEN · MA Markey · NJ Booker · NM Luján · OR Merkley · RI Reed · VA Warner
Likely Democrat (1): MN OPEN
Lean Democrat (3, 2 Dem 1 Rep): GA Ossoff · NC OPEN · NH OPEN
Toss Up (6, 1 Dem 5 Rep): AK Sullivan · IA OPEN · ME Collins · MI OPEN · OH Husted · TX OPEN
Lean Republican (0): none listed
Likely Republican (2): KS Marshall · NE Ricketts
Solid Republican (14): AL OPEN · AR Cotton · FL Moody · ID Risch · KY OPEN · LA OPEN · MS Hyde-Smith · MT OPEN · OK OPEN · SC Graham · SD Rounds · TN Hagerty · WV Capito · WY OPEN

Terminology Guide:
Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These races are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These races are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These races are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.