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What smart people are saying about the Situational Awareness stock sell-off to Citadel
After a meteoric rise, Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI-focused hedge fund, Situational Awareness, was forced to sell most of its publicly traded stock portfolio to Citadel following steep losses on AI-related positions in recent weeks. The meltdown of Situational Awareness, once sized at $20 billion, set off a wave of reactions and debate over what it said about investing in the AI space and about Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher who wrote a famous 165-page essay in 2024 about the future of AI. Ross Gerber, the CEO and cofounder of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, wrote on X: "Citadel just bamboozled this kid. The so called wiz kid. Turns out maybe some trading experience is necessary to play on this court." Shay Boloor, chief market strategist at Futurum Equities, said this was "the story of 2026." "Ken Griffin's Citadel was pushing surprise-rate-hike fears just days before the AI trade collapsed and forced 4x-levered Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness to unload its book near the lows. Citadel then reportedly bought most of those assets at significantly lower prices knowing that if sentiment deteriorated enough the fund could be forced to sell which makes the entire sequence look absolutely ruthless," he wrote on X. Tim Culpan, a former Bloomberg columnist, said the "meltdown" at Situational Awareness "shows the difference between intelligence and wisdom." Martin Shkreli, an investor and former pharmaceutical executive convicted of fraud, said: "It's the saddest, most Machiavellian thing. But he sort of had to blow up. There's no other ending. Because of the leverage level." Hank Medina, founder of Litquidity, wrote on X: "This is what happens when a tech bro tries to play hedge fund manager. He gets blown up by leverage and ripped to shreds by a seasoned financial juggernaut who strikes when there's blood in the water." Phil Trubey, an angel investor and the founder of Websense, wrote on X that "Citadel is not the bad guy in this story." "Taking out a player who doesn't have enough liquidity to cover leverage and manage a downturn" is a common strategy among Wall Street firms to boost their returns, Trubey continued, adding that the "person who should be blamed for Leopold's implosion is Leopold himself." Business Insider's Alistair Barr compared the fund's implosion to the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management and Peter Thiel's Clarium Capital.