Frozen copy retrieved 2026-07-26T11:00:00Z for audit 2026-07-26T11-22-57Z. Original URL: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/07/26/100-days-midterms-polls-redistricting-democrats-republicans-senate-house/91037142007/. The Stochastic Parrot does not host or redistribute; this snapshot exists solely so that quoted spans remain verifiable if the original page changes. Character offsets below index into this plain text; highlighted spans are the quotes cited in the audit.

100 days until the midterms: Dems lead in polling, GOP in redistricting

USA TODAY · back to the audit
The battle to control Congress is heating up, as Sunday marks the final 100 day stretch to Nov. 3, with Democrats leading in the polls but the outcome still in doubt after Republicans gained more from redistricting battles. A July 23 Emerson poll revealed an 11-percentage point lead by Democrats on the generic ballot, 53% compared with 42% favoring Republicans, as President Donald Trump's approval rating lands at 39 percent. Political analyst Nate Cohn for the New York Times estimated that Democrats would need to win the national popular vote by roughly 3.1 points to just barely flip the House of Representatives. 'This is clearly an improvement for Republicans, but the House map is not red enough to protect Republicans from what appears to currently be a bad political environment,' Kyle Kondik, a national political analyst, wrote in June in the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.